Screen Shot2015-06-26 10_37_58A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for much of Maryland west of the Bay. A Flood Watch has been issued for southern Pennsylvania (and Garrett Co MD) both through Saturday night as heavy rain is expected yet again.  We just set a new record for June in Baltimore with 9.98″ and it seems like just a tease that we break into the 10 inch category with this next event. The target appears to once again be on central Maryland and the timing like last weekend will be primarily afternoon through nighttime.  I think it’s a safe bet to say the Orioles may have to reschedule but I don’t know how they will handle the Buck Showalter garden gnome handout. Saturday will be wet beginning in the morning though, however Sunday looks better just not perfect.  See two timeline simulations below.

How Much?

Here is the GFS Model Projection. Timeline below followed by a closer look in a second simulation.

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Simulated Storm Track

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Also see:

Baltimore broke record for wettest June- surpassing 1972 and Agnes

Close Look- NAM WRF Model Simulation

Note: After 2 PM Saturday, the images are every 3 hours… A limitation of the model and a few gaps in the timeline

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NOAA Rainfall Outlook

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Severe Storm Safety Links

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Lightning Seen From Space: Red Sprites, Blue Jets, Elves

Hail Safety: Best Improv Video

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