Rain is moving in this morning, and it looks like it will be with us through all the daylight hours. This system is passing directly overhead and will bring the heaviest rain around lunchtime and early afternoon. Then a real winter cool down that will bring some snow to the mountains and possible flurries Saturday, before another record warm up by Christmas. First, here is the rain timeline:

Simulated Radar

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How Much Rain?

Between 0.5″ to 1.00″ with more falling farther south


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Snow In The Mountains! Flurries Move East?

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This vorticity map shows the upper level energy that is needed to carry Lake ‘Enhanced’ Snow to the mountains, but also can carry flurries over the mountains into metro Baltimore. There is support for this overnight Friday through Saturday mid day.  So you could wake up to a few falling flakes this weekend. No stickage expected locally. But a few inches at the ski resorts like Wisp and Snowshoe will help their snowmaking for just a day or two.

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Another Warm Up

The trend next week puts us on the warm side of another storm. This takes us through Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.  The records

Dec 24th: 65°F in 1990

Dec 25th: 72°F in 1964

It looks like the warmest air could be around midnight, and we could have some thunder with this event.  Note, we had thunderstorms with a warm event two years ago on Christmas, then ended up with an above normal snow total for the winter as the pattern turned into our favor in January.


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The long range pattern looks like it will change to a colder, more seasonal look in January.


Faith In The Flakes: It Will Snow… Eventually

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