Feeling like winter is one thing, but will it look like winter soon? That does depend on your perspective. As we get the jet stream to flip to a more favorable winter pattern, my focus (and maybe yours) shifts first to getting flakes to fall, then any organized storm. The first item up is a surge of arctic air that will open up the Lake Effect snow machine and watching the upper air pattern shows support for some flurries or even a snow shower to reach us on Monday. That might have quite a few teachers wearing their new Faith in the Flakes shirts back to school 🙂
The look at the vorticity showing this is in the first slider. But the frigid air may dominate the headlines Tuesday morning as the wind and cold may make it feel like the single digits when you wake up.
Will there be a winter storm for us any time soon? Well, I have been hesitant to show routine looks at the potential next weekend as I don’t trust the modeling. Also, since El Nino throws a huge wrench in the mix, this will be our first look at how it treats potential east coast storms. So I have a comparison of three models to show the wide variety of solutions- still nothing locked in yet. There is hope for ‘something’ to form.
Snow Showers Or Flurries?
Upper level energy/Vorticity shows support to carry flakes over the mountains. The core of the cold air will follow.