February 2 – The sky is clear in Punxsutawney Pennsylvania, which means that Phil ‘should’ see his shadow.
UPDATE: Phil did NOT see his shadow this morning, calling for an early spring. But the sky was clear, so this is not what should have been reported. He obviously does not have access to the European Model.
Tradition follows that we ‘should’ have 6 more weeks of winter. There are many other reasons why I believe that will be the case, but according to the world famous weather rodent, that is what I expect. Then again, there have been years with a cloudy morning that he sees his shadow, and he has a less than 50% track record. Needless to say, this week will remain mild, after today!
We wake up with some icy spots as the clear sky allowed temps to drop well below freezing while snow melt and fog lingered overnight. The warm up will push in ahead of the blizzard tracking through the nation’s heartland and hitting Iowa today. The warm winds ahead of the storm will bring us Wednesday. The strong winds will bring us close to the record high of 66°F (set in 1932), which will feed thunderstorms and potential severe weather. The main threat will be flooding from rain and snowmelt on already challenged waterways.
Also See: Weather Folklore
Southern Pennsylvania is under a Flood Watch. But considering that water has to flow south. So Maryland and the Chesapeake Bay is downstream so this could be extended.