Thursday March 17 – As of the luck of the Irish would have it, most of this St. Patrick’s Day was nice, but we had green on the radar with showers mid day. That is the beginning of ushering colder air, and we set the stage for a costal storm this weekend. As luck for the rest of us would have it, the arrival of Spring on Sunday will come with snow. So is March in Maryland, and the Mid Atlantic. But the questions now relate to either a Saturday or Sunday start, and … FITF, but how much of what may fall could possibly stick?
I have been monitoring the trend of this storm and how the models handle it. In short, there should be snow this weekend. Once last chance to justify wearing our FITF shirts. But the main question as the days get longer is, “How much could possibly stick”. Here are the latest GFS and Canadian Model tracks. Please see my notes below.
- This has continued the trend north, so it is closer to us with more snow.
- Timing is earlier with snow arriving on Saturday afternoon, but a chance for steady snow during the dark hours at night to help stickage.
- If this plays out, the potential impact could be on Sunday morning.
- Notice the ‘Freezing Line’ I highlighted. The clouds will be cold enough to produce snow, but stickage might be an elevation thing. Where most metro and bay areas stay too warm.
- A moderte to strong winter storm event for central and coastal New England.
- The upper level pattern supports flurries or snow showers into next week.