Friday March 18 – There will be snow this weekend across much of our area, but on the cusp of Spring arriving this is not a pure event. There are a few ingredients on the map this morning that will come together for a moderate to strong coastal storm. I am leaning towards a Saturday start, but this will last through Sunday as well. It will be a stronger event for New England but we will get our fair share and stress trying to calculated who will see snow falling and what will actually lay and stay on the ground.
Forgive me for repeating some of my points, but I feel it is important as the forecast looks ominous, yet the traveling will not be the same as you might expect in mid Winter. Today for example starts near 50°F and will reach close to 60°F this afternoon. The ground is warm, especially on the heels of some 70 and 80 degree days. The Chesapeake Bay has also warmed a bit, so the chips are stacked against stickage. The mountains will see the benefit of colder air and some ski areas could get good coverage. Here is the latest GFS Model, the solution I am leaning towards. My notes and first call snowfall map is below.
*Spring begins at 12:30 AM EDT Sunday March 20