screen-shot2016-11-20-07_25_00Sunday November 20 – The monster cold front we had yesterday meant business and today you will feel the cold winds for sure. Baltimore’s BWI went from a high of 73F to the lower 30s with a 51 mph wind gusts. Today will be a struggle to get to the 40s. In fact the wind speed may exceed the numbers on the thermometer as a strong pressure gradient and daily mixing of the air combine to peak this afternoon.  Wind Advisory: Winds should be in the 30 to 45 mph range, with gusts to 55 mph. A High Wind Warning on the mountain tops to our west mean gusts to 65 mph, and that comes with snow.

snowshoenov20Snow Advisory continues with another few inches on Wisp, Snowshoe, and 7 Springs. The upper level flow and instability supports flurries reaching central Maryland again, even if it doesn’t show up on the models. I am still at Snowshoe, WV where temps are in the teens and wind chill is below zero with a lot of snow. I will have a love report on my Facebook page before 10 AM. It is hard to tell from here how much snow fell since it is blowing around so much. But I think we did get close to the expected 6 inches with another 2 to 4 on the top of the mountain possible.

Note: Faith in the Flakes online store is open. More items will be added, but see the shirts and new inside out PJ pants.

Below, more on the wind, flurries, plus the outlook through Thanksgiving includes a little warming and rain.

Strongest Winds Today: Early Afternoon

Reminder that we could still see gusts to 55mph with the mountain tops reaching 65 mph as the pressure gradient around this upper level Low combines with daily heating and mixing of the air. See the local winds hour by hour below.



Wind Speed and Direction: NAM Model —> slider

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Snow West And Flurries Carry East

The models don’t always do a great job showing the progress of flurries since the moisture is so low. But the upper level support seen here in the jet stream vorticity shows the flow will help carry snow showers over the mountains into south central PA and central Maryland.


Afternoon Surface Map



Closer Look:



Outlook This Week:

Temps will modify, but a definite pattern change will make it feel more like late November. The next threat of rain will arrive Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. So part of Thanksgiving might be wet, with an improvement in the afternoon.

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collagetempFaith in the Flakes Online Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.



Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

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Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.