screen-shot2016-11-30-18_34_57November 30 – As the calendar turns to December, it will be the start of meteorological winter.  The shorter daylight and colder air gets many thinking and wishing for snow. That may be hard to imagine with temps in the 60s today, but we are about to have a pattern change. This will come in stages, and gradually the colder air will dominate. This week we will note the cool down through the weekend. As slightly warmer air tries to arrive, some of the models are trying to bringing moisture with a threat of some snow or a mix involved nearby. The end of next week may be more prolific as a stronger storm will bring needed heavy rain followed by a deeper and stronger push of cold air. There appears to be a good chance cold air catches up in time to end it as snow.

Note: If you have Faith in the Flakes, we are going to our first print for the new flannel FITF PJs tomorrow. Get your order in now and you may have them in time next week.


I want to be clear of two things before showing you two models indicating potential snow next week:

  1. The storm projection for the end of next week is likely to NOT be exactly as shown below. There will be some adjustment of track, timing, and intensity of the next storm… So please use this as a gauge, not a guarantee.
  2. It is early in the season, so even if we can get some snow to form, we would need an organized storm to get stickage on the warmer ground. The best chance for any of that here will be in the mountains west and north of Baltimore.

Canadian GEM Model

This is my go to in the winter… But the accuracy is much better in north branch jet stream dominated patterns.  This model is most aggressive with snow or a mix Tuesday… and then again next Thursday.

weather —> slider (skips a few quiet days in the middle of next week)

[metaslider id=40729]


GFS Model

This is the primary model used by the National Weather Service and the American model that got a major upgrade last winter. This hints at a very light mix Sunday night mainly in the mountains, then shows the same transition of heavy rain ending as snow next week as the Canadian Model.

weather —> slider (skips a few quiet days in the middle of next week)

[metaslider id=40740]


Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs going to first print tomorrow December 1. Put your order in now to get them next week.

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals