screen-shot2016-12-05-14_42_31December 5th – All signs of winter and the impending arctic blast by the end of the week are still on target. The next storm in our couplet will be on a colder track to our south, but the really cold air is not available for most of our region yet. The Mid Atlantic often needs a few stages of cold snaps to get there, but the pattern is promising. Many storms have been to our west, but passing to our south and east is what is needed for the cold air.  There may be enough in place for the arrival Tuesday morning so that we have sleet near and north of Baltimore that many models are not picking up on, much like last night. But don’t expect much to stick… unless you drive into the mountains or southern PA.

There could be a few hours of a wet wintry mix as close as Boonsboro in Frederick County and perhaps near Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster in PA.

Needless to say, a storm will bring us needed rain (see what I did there?). Reservoirs are low and the average of one inch of rain for our region will be beneficial. Here’s how it will play out. Keep your Faith in the Flakes despite the rain. See the Dec 5th snow history here.


Morning Low Temps Just Above Freezing



The HRRR Model shows the rain just south of Washington at daybreak


Rain and or sleet mixed in will arrive during and just at the end of the morning commute.

NAM/WRF Model Simulated Radar —> slider

[metaslider id=40887]


Temperatures Will Crash Behind Storm

Note: There will be another warm up, but that all depends on the next storm track. I think the shift to the east will continue and we may not end up as warm as shown on the GEFS Ensemble temps. But highs in the 30s remaining has a lot of support.



Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals