Thursday December 8 – The cold front has moved through and the colder air will be noticeable Friday morning. Temperatures will drop into the 20s and with winds up to 20 mph and gusting to 30 mph, wind chills will be in the teens. The headlines will be heavy snow along the Great Lakes. Some upper level energy could carry a few flurries over the mountains our way. That is not the snow that you may be questioning. There is still that chance for light snow or flurries on Sunday on the front end of the next storm. A few more opportunities next week. Please note that this early in the season, it takes a storm or two to get an idea which models will behave better. I am not locking in yet on how this storm will track since it is just starting to enter the western US. A lot can still change as it gets fully in the grid.  More on that below. First a look at Friday’s weather:

Frigid Friday Morning

Wind Chills


Afternoon Staying Cold



Chance of Snow Flurries?

Upper Level Energy- Vort Max seen here may carry some of the Lake Effect snow showers over the mountains. The best chance will be in the afternoon and early evening.

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Surface Map:

Not a lot of moisture, so the models don’t pick up on al the flurries


Weekend Snow?

I want to make this point clear… Light snow or flurries on Sunday will be more likely near and north of Baltimore through southern PA. If you live near I-95 or the Chesapeake Bay, your area is least likely to get in on the wintry action. That is typical early in the season. But the Low Pressure and solution for redevelopment appears to be farther north and west than yesterday’s run. The Canadian is still colder with snow and an icy mix going over to rain Monday. But the GFS continues to be warmer and weaker with the storm… so less snow and more likely rain. I expect the modeling will adjust some more as the Pacific storm enters the grid and gets assessed better before moving our way. Plus, we still need to see how deep this arctic air drops and how long it stays… It can be slower to move out, making the next system more icy and complicated.

Regardless… There is a lot of energy and more chances for snow during next week. We don’t have a big storm on the way, but the shift in the pattern will be noticeable.

Compare the colder Canadian Model to the GFS Model

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GFS Model —> slider

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Another Chance of Snow?

There will be a few chances for snow next week. This is one of them.


Temperature Outlook – Colder Next Week


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Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals