Friday December 9 – You will feel it for sure as you step outside this morning. At 6 AM Baltimore’s BWI was down to 28°F with a wind chill of 17°F.  The first taste of arctic air has arrived. Gusts today could reach 30 mph, keeping the wind chill in the 20s through the afternoon. A small chance of a flurry flying as well. The wind will ease a little, but it will remain cold this weekend for the Army Navy game in Baltimore and the arrival of light snow on Sunday.

The first part of the next storm is still on, but the impact should be small, and confined on the northern side of our region. Flurries and light snow will move in on Sunday, but the track to our north means warmer air builds in and the storm will bring in rain. The question is how much cold air will linger Sunday night and if a wintry, icy mix could linger. This is where the Canadian Model holds the cold longer with a storm track farther south than the warmer GFS Model.  Both show a second chance of snow in the middle of next week and there are two sliders below to show each. This will be the first test for the  model behavior this season. But the pattern itself will turn colder and remain active. There is plenty of time to get a White Christmas if that’s what you want.

First Event: Sunday/Monday

Canadian GEM Model (colder solution) —> slider

Light snow or flurries moves earlier on Sunday.  Any chance of stickage towards Sunday evening and at night. The best chance will be west and north of I-95… more likely farther inland away from the Bay. The icy part all depends on the track of the storm for how long the cold will hold. 

[metaslider id=41055]

GFS Model (warm solution) —> slider

Flurries possible into central Maryland Sunday afternoon. Light snow appears to be confined along the PA line and north.

[metaslider id=41042]


Second Event Next Week

Canadian GEM Model  —> slider

[metaslider id=41063]


GFS Model —> slider

[metaslider id=41049]

Temperature Outlook

The cold air this weekend will  modify Monday… but how warm depends on which track for the storm.  The second event will drag down even colder air next week.


Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals