Friday December 16 – A Winter Weather Advisory covers much of our area tonight through Saturday morning. The Winter Storm Watch in north central Maryland is likely to be adjusted later today. This may be the first accumulating snow of the season, but the ice will be the big story Saturday morning. This is due to the later arrival of snow tonight, allowing the warmer air at cloud level to move in before more of the precipitation can do its thing. A dusting to 1 inch south of the main cities, with an inch or so on the north end, mostly before sunrise Saturday. At daylight, ice will be the concern. But if you have plans after noon, you should be OK.

Below are the model timelines and multiple NWS office regional snow and ice maps.

The deep freeze we are in has the top layer of the ground rock solid. Computer models show the warming, but temperatures are rated for 6 feet above the ground where thermometers are location. I think the icing will last longer due to the frozen ground. But normal road treatment and solar energy should allow for most roads to be passable by mid day Saturday. The side roads, sidewalks, driveways, etc may hold on to the ice the longest.

That is why the Canadian Model may show the better solution for the front end of this storm. The GFS model shows snow mixing back over Sunday afternoon/evening. This may arrive by the end of the Ravens game.

Canadian Model —> slider

Longer duration of ice Saturday

[metaslider id=41396]

GFS Model —> slider

Note the snow returning briefly late Sunday afternoon and evening.

[metaslider id=41403]


Snow Maps From These Two Models (ice not included)

  • Northern Baltimore Suburbs: 1 to 2 inches
  • Southern Pennsylvania: 2 to 3 inches
  • Metro Baltimore/Washington/Annapolis: Dusting to 1 inch


Snow and Ice: NWS Regional Zone Maps

Central Maryland/Northern Virginia



Eastern Shore/Delaware/metro Philadelphia

Central Pennsylvania


Temperature Outlook

Christmas appears to be slightly above average


Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

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Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals