Tuesday December 20 – Temperatures this morning have dropped into the teens and lower 20s in much of our area. There is no shortage of cold air, but the timing is not good for winter lovers… so far. The storm pattern remains to our west which means warm ups ahead of storms and not much snow in sight. If you have Faith in the Flakes, I want to remind you of last year and how we had a blowtorch December followed by the largest snow dumping on record in January. There is plenty of winter left, but it will take a few weeks to shift the pattern.

Here is a look at the regional temperatures this morning but at least there is not much wind. This afternoon will have highs back into the upper 30s. Wednesday morning will mark the official start of winter at 5:44 AM, but that will marks the shift back to a warming trend leading into the next storm. The good news is that Christmas looks rather quiet locally and not nearly as warm as last year (see records below). The storm should limit the rain to Christmas Eve, but the Ravens game in Pittsburgh should be dry.


Christmas Weather Outlook

The jet stream shows the split across the nation with the eastern US warmer than average and the cold air locked up in the west.

It looks worse than it may be. The temperatures translation at the surface looks more like this. That is mid 40s to near 50°F

Tracking The Next Storm

GFS Model —> Slider

[metaslider id=41567]


Not Last December!

Remember the blowtorch December? We had 5 recored high temperatures at BWI and Christmas around 70°F. That will NOT be the case this year. But also consider that the extremes from last year actually balanced out. Click here to see my full report of 2015. But remember that we had the abrupt shift in fortune to cold and snow in January. I see the pattern shifting in January not necessarily a repeat of that storm though. But it will get active soon enough. FITF

Temperature Outlook



Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to http://www.signsbytomorrow.com/timonium/ to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

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Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals