Monday February 6 – Baltimore hit a high temperature of 61°F today. This is not a record, but way above average. Not our typical February day, and Tuesday will be warmer. One their I have operated on for years is that extremes breed extremes. The pendulum swings both way, so big warm ups are often balanced by a big chill or something in between when normalcy tries to return. So here we have the rain event tomorrow. No change here, and when it passes by, the boundary I showed in the jet stream is still left behind. That will allow a storm to develop on the base of the trough in the jet stream. The GFS and European Models are in agreement with this intensifying as the Low passes to our south on Thursday morning. FITF

Before showing the maps, I need to add some disclaimers:

  1. The ground is warm

  2. The temperatures will be dropping, but some snow will fall with the air above freezing. It will be colder clouds that produce the flakes.

These two limit stickage. However the timing of the snow falling at night, with moderate rates could counter the ground temps and help accumulation. Either way, I would caution anyone making a guess at now amounts this early. There are too many elements that are borderline and can change.

Tuesday Rain —> slider

[metaslider id=43189]

Snow —> slider

Notice the ‘Freezing Line’. This appears to drop along or just south of I-95 Thursday morning. The best chance for stockage and top accumulation will be the typical colder spots West and North of Baltimore. Along I-95 and in metro Baltimore and Washington this will be a close call. Still hold on to your Faith in the Flakes. There is hope.

[metaslider id=43195]



It is too early and the temperate of the ground and air both need to be accounted for.


Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.

Sign up for email updates on new posts

Since you may miss some posts via social media, click here for email alerts as a way to make sure you don’t miss any.  *You may have to refresh that page once for your browser to clear out the images.

Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

Maryland Winters

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals