Thursday August 3
We remain in this humid environment on the edge of High Pressure that allows the storms to buildup, but not much push to move them. So as they sit or drift, then can dump a lot of rain on some areas. There is less trigger today, so storms should be less numerous, but they will still develop and do their thing. This could bring local flooding, large hail, damaging winds, and intense lightning. Before checking out the radar simulation, I want to take a look back at yesterday’s rain that produce Flash Flooding and severe wind damage.
Here is the Doppler Radar Rainfall Totals. The big hit was just west of Kingsville, MD around Glen Arm with over 6 inches of rain. Large hail and tree damage was noticed even in other cells across the area.
Baltimore’s BWI recorded 0.68″ of rain. Woodlawn and Ellicott City remained dry. Yet Perry Hall to Bel Air ranged between 1 and 6 inches.
As we noticed during the day, storms formed on the north side, and the outflow boundary helped to spawn more storms to the south… but not as potent….
Highs will once again be in the upper 80s to near 90ºF, and scattered storms will develop. Today’s storms should start after 2 PM, a few hours later than yesterday. This suggests the atmosphere is a little more stable and needs a little more heat to pop the cork and get going.
—–> slider: Radar Simulation
- Severe Storms With Large Hail: Any storm may produce quarter size hail
- Frequent lightning
- Winds exceeding 60 mph
- Flash Flooding
- Watch means it ‘might’ happen’; Warning means it ‘is happening’
Severe Storm Outlook
This product from NOAA did not show the outbreak over the past two days… Once reason I have not been showing it. But I wanted to show the shift of energy today and tomorrow… It looks like Friday will be our best chance for an active day. More energy will be north of Baltimore across the mountains and southern PA
As the main Low Pressure passed through the Great Lakes, the energy will be riding along the mountains
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Maryland Trek 2017
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Kent Island Tornado
Faith in the Flakes
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