Wednesday August 9

There are two areas of interest in the Atlantic Basin today. Tropical Storm Franklin already crossed the Yucatan Peninsula and is currently regaining strength in the Bay of Campeche. This is expected to become a hurricane before hitting mainland Mexico. The second system is in the open Atlantic and has had trouble getting organized. There is a 40% chance it will grow into a tropical storm over the next 5 days.

The interest across the east coast may breath a sigh of relief. I showed the 10 day forecast trying to put this off of the east coast, but I also noted that our weather pattern does not support a landfall. We will have another storm system locally and a cooler air mass dominating the eastern US next week. That should push that storm to curve away from the east coast. The models seem to agree now. Here’s a look, but note that does not keep us dry, just avoiding a hit from the tropical system.

2 Day Satellite Movie


Morning Tropical Set Up

If that Atlantic system does develop, here is the spread on the intensity. One third of these models show it reaching hurricane intensity.


Not On The East Coast

The cool and wet weather pattern influencing our weather, will help to steer this away from the east coast. There is a good chance Monday will be wet at the beaches, but that is a good thing to help push that potential storm to curve away from the US shoreline.


Tropical Forecast Model Tracks



I will have the local weather outlook in my next post


Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

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Maryland Trek 2017

Donations now being accepted. Please select “Cool Kids Campaign” in the options to add to our entire team’s total.

Milestones this year:

  • I will do my 1000th mile on Day 1 in Garrett County
  • We aim to reach $100,000 for Cool Kids Campaign for the entire event.


Faith in the Flakes

The store is closing for the season. Next week we wil be shifting back to spring mode. This will include a severe weather STEM assembly program.