Tuesday September 5

Today is the day Maryland goes back to school and it will feel like one last day of summer. Temperatures are warm this morning so I suspect it will be shorts for many.  The risk of severe storms will build late afternoon through this evening and the rain will linger into Wednesday. The storms will be stronger north of Baltimore towards York and Lancaster PA.  I know you are in a rush, so I will be quick about the rest. Below you will see the simulated radar, temperature outlook, and the latest on Hurricane Irma that has 150 mph winds but the track is continuing to stay south, but we could get rain from it next week.

—-> slider: Simulated Radar

Note: The risk of strong or severe storms will be after 5 PM and the norther suburbs could see the stronger cell between 6 and 7 PM. Metro Baltimore, Washington, and Annapolis will have the best chance of storms this evening and overnight. 

High Temperatures

Very warm reaching into the upper 80s

 

—> slider: Rain Timeline

Rain will linger with cooler temps (lower 70s) Wednesday

 

Temperature Outlook

 

Hurricane Irma

This is a brief update. I will have more details in my next report this morning 

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.6N 57.0W
ABOUT 320 MI…515 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…937 MB…27.67 INCHES

Forecast Track

The National Hurricane Center is sticking with that HWRF I showed last evening. Click here to see that animation here.

State Of Emergency for Florida. The trend is for south Florida and perhaps a turn north for the Gulf Coast into Georgia and then rain spreading our way next week.

 

Wind Spread

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, Montserrat, St. Kitts, and Nevis
* Saba, St. Eustatius, and Sint Maarten
* Saint Martin and Saint Barthelemy
* British Virgin Islands
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, Vieques, and Culebra

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica

 

Intensity Forecast: Remaining A Major Hurricane Until Reaching The US

 

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

 

 

Long Range Outlook

This is the time frame I showed over the weekend with the earlier plots showing an east coast landfall… Now art appears the center of Irma will track north into West Virginia. The potential rain for our region will be Tuesday and Wednesday next week, but in a diminished form

 

Keep on Trekking

Continue to be part of our Maryland Trek and Support Cool Kids Campaign. This was our best event yet and we want the message to carry throughout the year.

Proceeds go to programs that help children and their families ensuring cancer treatment.

 

 

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