Saturday October 14

Category 2 Hurricane Ophelia still has 100 mph winds and is now racing through into the eastern Atlantic towards Ireland. The visible satellite from sunrise over the storm shows a well defined eye, albeit of a small storm. The track and timing of the potently landfall on Ireland is holding. See the complete update and maps below.  Locally we are stuck in the muck. Plenty of drizzle and fog but a wind shift should help to warm us into the 70s and dry us out a little. One more summer like day on Sunday will as we surge into the mid 80s ahead of a cold front. There is a slight risk of a thundershower as another brief cool down arrives for the start of the work week. Then the roller coaster of temperatures continues.

This Morning

Areas of drizzle and fog will be slow to depart, but gradually we should warm and brighten the sky today. The warmer winds will push in Sunday and push us into the mid 80s. The cold front across the Great Lakes will reach us Sunday evening with a small chance of thundershower and rain overnight. Monday morning will bring us back to near normal.

Stats For October 14

Normal High:  67ºF

Record High:  86ºF in 1975

Normal Low: 46ºF

Record Low: 29ºF in 1988

Sunrise: 7:16 AM

Sunset 6:29 PM

Skipping To Sunday

High Temps

Radar Simulation:

 

 

Temperature Outlook

 

Hurricane Ophelia

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.9N 28.6W
ABOUT 295 MI…480 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…100 MPH…155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 24 MPH…39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES

 

This is a small storm.

  • 25 mile – range of Hurricane Force winds 
  • 90 miles – range of Tropical Storm Force winds

But it is moving FAST. Forward movement of 24 mph may increase to over 40 mph as it reaches Ireland. So the impact will be localized and quick.

The some will reach the British Islands on Monday morning local time. Landfall potential is by noon local time

 

Forecast Animation

 

Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast Track

The forward speed of the storm is the reason why it may hold hurricane intensity as it reaches Ireland. But the storm will inevitably weaken over the cooler water. 

 

 

Trust in this Bust- Limited Edition Shirt

This is not a forecast, but a fundraiser for breast cancer research at BCRF- the highest rated cancer research charity. This soft Bella T-Shirt is to promote the strength of the ‘good bust’ and the heart that beats strong beneath it. Proceeds will be donated in honor of my mother Linda Berk, a 3-time breast cancer survivor. Click on the shirt image to join us.

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