Monday February 19 2018

After the weekend snow, we will jump back with warm air this week that brings at least two days into the 70s. A record heat wave in 1930 has the bench mark we will challenge, but that does not mean winter is over. In fact, I have mentioned that this early season warm up will mean a sharp crash in March. Now there is model support for just that. See more below.

 

Stats For February 19

Note: A few people have asked me about the term normal vs using averageScientifically ‘average’ is a better term for the stats below, but The National Weather Service has used the ‘normal’ term in their climate data. I have switched it below to satisfy the fellow science geeks.

Average High:  46ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1997

Average  Low: 27ºF

*Former Record Low: +5ºF in 1903

Snow Record: 16.4″ in 1979

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 8.7″

Sunrise: 6:53 AM

Sunset 5:47 PM

*Daylight = 2:26 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

 

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Showers Today

Not a wash out. A band this morning and again this evening.

—> slider

 

Let’s Focus on the Temperatures

Today

 

Tuesday

Record: 76ºF in 1930

Wednesday

Record: 74ºF in 1930

 

Rainy End To the Week

Thursday Through Sunday

 

Outlook\ Temperatures

 

March Pattern:

The North Atlantic Oscillation has been forecast to drop into a record negative territory. Here is why. A Large blocking pattern is setting up across eastern Canada and Greenland. This will enhance the cold air and storm track for us in early March.

Often an early season warm up is met with strong return to cold

 

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Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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FITF Gear

SALE on ALL FITF items All DAY SATURDAY! Use Promo Code: snow 17 for 17% to honor the date of our snow ?

Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

 

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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends