A Wind Advisory is in place for most of our are today, but this was upgraded to a High Wind Warning in Pennsylvania where gusts could reach 60 mph. We have a very volatile set up today with rapidly changing conditions. A Dense Fog Advisory this morning as cool damp air and low visibility are being squeezed out by a strong cold front. Winds will surge this morning and try to push the 60s farther north. The line of rain and developing storms could turn severe on the Lower Eastern Shore.
Then colder air will follow this evening when we could feel the strongest winds between 4 and 8 PM. The odd thing is that if you heard we may get snow on Saturday, we will actually warm back to the 60s Friday, then the bottom falls out this weekend. Not only will we have snow, but record low temperature possible as we dip into the 20s Sunday morning.
Stats For April 4
Average High: 61ºF
Record High: 86ºF in 2011
Average Low: 39ºF
Record Low: 20ºF in 1965
Snow Record: 1.5″ in 1944
Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 15.2
Sunrise: 6:46 AM
Sunset 7:33 PM
*Daylight = 2:33 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 46ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Rain Timeline: Radar Simulation —> slider
Wind Gusts Timeline —> slider
Skipping Ahead To The Weekend
This GFS Model has been most aggressive with the snow all day Saturday. I hesitate to give snow potential totals as daytime snow is not likely to stick much… but the duration and intensity in the afternoon/evening is when we may consider snow laying and staying.
Snow Simulation: ICON MODEL
This German forecast model has trended colder. I am showing this because it was this model that did the best job with our last snow event keeping the snow north of Baltimore. This time it spreads to across the Bay… and earlier than the prior run. I would plan for possible impact during the afternoon and evening.
Record Cold Sunday?
The record Low on April 8 in Baltimore is 26ºF set in 1982. That is the forecast shown here on the GFS Model
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