September 1 2018

I really hope you were able to see my morning report Friday and it helped. The expectation for slow moving storms proved itself and the High Resolution Rapid Refresh Model did a decent job depicting the hardest hit areas in northeastern Maryland and Southern PA. There is a frontal boundary still draped across our area and it should ignite more showers this morning in northeastern Maryland, then shift the focus to the mountains this afternoon and evening. We are stuck with this through Labor Day. But pinning down who is most prone will depend on where this quasi-stationary boundary sets up.

Today marks the start of a new month and new season. September 1 is the beginning of Meteorological Autumn. But, it looks like we are stuck with the same pattern.

Recap Of Flooding Friday August 31

The hardest hit areas were in Harford County Maryland and York/Lancaster Counties in PA. Doppler estimates over 4 inches of rain, with up to 6 inches in some spots.

 

 

 

If you did not see this on Facebook, please go to my page wall and adjust the settings to see updates. Apparently it defaults back every few weeks and my wife keeps going in to adjust it again. 

 

Local Weather Stats For September 1 in Baltimore

Average High:  83ºF

Record High: 99ºF in 1962

Average  Low: 63ºF

Record Low: 53ºF in 1963

Sunrise: 6:34 AM

Sunset 7:37 PM

*Daylight = 2:28 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 82ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

 

Also see: Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

 

Morning Snapshot

On the north side of this boundary, winds will be cool and moist from the northeast. The other end of the energy field will be in the Virginia mountains where warm and humid air will build up storms later today.

 

Closer in…

The northeast winds may not show the cool flow this morning, but it will limit our temperatures this afternoon. The surface wind direction is what will feed in moisture, but also slow down the storms that try to move in from the other direction… The west. This is due to upper level winds moving the clouds.

 

Radar Simulation —> slider

Showers will try to erupt this morning with leftover energy aloft… near and just northeast of Baltimore. The afternoon storm complex in the Virginia Mountains is likely to produce a few severe storm cells.

 

Rainfall Potential 

 

High Temperatures 

 

 

Rain Animation

More Showers… Same old thing through Labor Day.

 

 

Temperature Outlook

Another warm up next week is looking ‘less hot’. But it will stile sticky. The relief will come next weekend with another storm but shifting the jet stream to allow some autumn like air to filter in to our region.

 

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Maryland Trek 5 on Crowdrise

Partner With Us. My Fiancee Shannon and I started this non profit Just In Power Kids. We are building a network of Integrated Wellness Practitioners plus funds for kids in and post cancer treatment to get free sessions.