Tuesday September 11 2018

Hurricane Florence is holding at 140 mph winds and now showing up on the edge of our water map. In addition to the States of Emergency from Maryland down through South Carolina, not Hurricane Watches and Storm Surge Watches have been issues. More on that and our local expectation below. But first, we have thick fog this morning and some showers and storms this afternoon not connected to the hurricane.

Local Weather Stats For September 11 in Baltimore

Average High:  80ºF

Record High: 100ºF in 1983

Average  Low: 60ºF

Record Low: 43ºF in 1917

Sunrise: 6:44 AM

Sunset 7:21 PM

*Daylight = 2:31 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 76ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


Also see: Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs


Morning Temperatures


Afternoon Temperatures


Radar Simulation –> slider

Best chance for storms will be after 2 PM from I-95 east to Delmarva

[metaslider id=65391]



Rain Animation:

We will remain on the edge of this fading front and the northern fringe of Hurricane Florence. The bulk, of that rain will stay just south but throw some rain bands our way.  This is the outlook from the ICON Model



Hurricane Florence Update

While winds remain at 140 mph, there is a chance this reaches Category 5 briefly today. The track is still locked in on North Carolina… then expected to stall or crawl inland. That wil determine if rain can reach Maryland and in the path who may get 10, 20, or even up to 30 inches of rain.

Infrared Stellite This Morning 

Wider View



LOCATION...26.4N 64.1W


Forecast Maps

The cluster shows landfall between Wilmington and Cape Hatteras NC




Storm Animation

HWRF Shows Hurricane Florence making landfall just north of Wilmington and then nearly stalling for two days, then pushing west. That could dump over 20 inches of rain there and limit the impact north into Maryland.


Storm Surge And Hurricane Watches from South Carolina To VA Border

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the east coast of the
United States from Edisto Beach, South Carolina northward to
the North Carolina-Virginia border, including the Pamlico and
Albemarle Sounds.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued for the east coast of the United
States from Edisto Beach, South Carolina, northward to the
North Carolina-Virginia border, including the Pamlico and Albemarle



What About Maryland?

The track of Florence is similar to Isabel (2003), but instead of moving inland in a hurry, this will crawl or stall. That may limit the surge of water up the Chesapeake Bay, but water levels are already high with flooding. There wil be more flooding as tides will not be allowed to drain out.  Watching if and where this crawls will determine how much water may or may not push north. We are on the edge.

Winds: Southern Maryland and Ocean City may get gusts to 35 mph, but the bulk of the storm impact will remain south.

Rain: Depending on the craw and stall, the edge of the rain bands will clip our region with some areas near and north of Baltimore possibly staying dry.  In fact the sinking air around the edge of the storm on Thursday might make it nice briefly before the east winds brings back the moisture.  We will be in for a chance of rain through next week.




Love Maryland Shirt Designed By Jaiden

This shirt was designed by my ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden. All proceeds will go to Just In Power Kids and free holistic therapy for kids in and post cancer treatment.


Order Here

Show your love for Maryland and make this 14 year old artist extra proud





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Power Partner Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 5:



Still Time To Support Just In Power Kids

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Maryland Trek 5 on Crowdrise

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Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.