Sunday November 4 2018

The active storm pattern will be racing into our region to start the work week.  Rain will move in overnight and be with us for the Monday commute. The rain may be heavy just as traffic hit the peak rush hour fore Washington, Baltimore, and York PA. The rain may be heavy at times through mid day, then taper off in the afternoon. But another round of rain will be more intense on Tuesday. Election Day may be a bumpy ride as a line of storms has a slight risk of turning severe. Track the timelines for both rain events in the simulations below.

First, Here is a look at the radar loop Sunday evening. This is the system coming together for us. A line of strong storms from the Ohio and Mississippi Valleys will combine with a cluster of moderate rain across Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina. If this was winter time, we would be set up for a good phasing event. I mention that because this pattern seems to be repeating and likely to set up again in the winter.

Radar Loop: 2 Hours ending 8 PM Sunday


Radar Simulation Monday —> slider

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Monday Rainfall Potential


Tuesday’s Storm Line May Turn Severe


Radar Simulation Tuesday —> slider 

The line of potentially severe storms will cross central Maryland late morning and mid day, then pass off the Eastern Shore during the afternoon.

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I will have another update by 6:30 AM Monday


Also See:

Two Tornadoes Confirmed in central Maryland from Fri Nov 2 Storms


Winter Outlooks

Winter Weather Folklore

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow


Cold Stuff

Normal First Frost/Freeze Dates

Maryland Winters: Snowfall by region and records



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Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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