Tuesday November 6 2018

It’s time to vote on this Election Day and the timeline of this cold front is critical as to where the threat for severe storms sets up.  We start the day with fog and there will be rain with a line of gusty winds and thunder moving through mid day. But the location of that line with the heat of the day to help ignite the storms now appears to be stretch along I-95 and across the Chesapeake Bay to the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

This map of severe storm risk above points out where the line of storms should reach after noon.  All places to the west will get it this morning, and likely before it has the energy to push severe limits However, it will be a bumpy ride. Check out the timeline below.

Outlook: Much colder air is on the way. Temperatures will feel more like early winter later this week. We have another rain event on the way, but it should be rain for most of us Friday before a much colder weekend.

Local Weather Stats For November 6 in Baltimore

Average High:  60ºF

Record High: 80ºF in 2015

Average  Low: 39ºF

Record Low:  22ºF in 1991

Sunrise: 6:39 AM

Sunset 4:59 PM 

*Daylight = 2:09 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 58ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


Rainfall: Wettest 5 Years

1. 62.66” in 2003
2. 62.35” in 1889
3. 59.98” in 1979
4. 59.09 in 2018*
5. 58.31” in 1996


Morning Snapshot


Radar Loop This Morning

2 Hours Ending at 6 AM- I’ve added the streamlines to show the Southeast wind flow. That is a direction that helps to enhance storms east of the mountains and by the Bay…


Radar Simulation —> slider

There will be two lines of rain. The first is the strong one and it will be a morning hit for areas west of Baltimore in the morning. This includes western Maryland and southern Pennsylvania to the city. Around noon this will cross I-95 and then. Annapolis, Southern Maryland, and the Eastern Shore could get a stronger punch.  But a second wave of rain will arrive from the west during the afternoon.

[metaslider id=67915]


Rainfall Potential


High Temperatures

This will be the warmest day of the week


Storm Animation 

Another rain event on Friday should reinforce our year as number 3 or 2 on the all time list. It will be a chilly rain, with some snow in western Maryland at the finish. Then a much colder weekend with dry air to follow.


Outlook- Early Winter

This Jet Stream looks like an early winter pattern with reinforcing cold air. Temperatures will be in the upper 30s to lower 40s


Temperature Outlook


Also See:

Two Tornadoes Confirmed in central Maryland from Fri Nov 2 Storms


Winter Outlooks

Winter Weather Folklore

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow


Cold Stuff

Normal First Frost/Freeze Dates

Maryland Winters: Snowfall by region and records



FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.


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