Monday November 12 2018

The weather this morning was frozen. Temperatures have produced widespread frost, but a disturbance also brought flurries to the suburbs north of Baltimore. This includes parts of Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil County up towards Lancaster, PA. Snow showers in western Maryland might stick on the ground. But our main event will be rain this evening into Tuesday. This will be yet another coastal storm with the heavy rain this time falling south of Baltimore.

Another storm later this will have colder air in place and could start with snow or a wintry mix Thursday afternoon. That should turn into yet another rain event, but the hint of winter will be with us. More details below….

Local Weather Stats For November 12 in Baltimore

Average High:  58ºF

Record High: 78ºF in 1979

Average  Low: 38ºF

Record Low:  18ºF in 1957

Sunrise: 6:46 AM

Sunset 4:54 PM 

*Daylight = 2:00 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 53ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Rainfall 2018 Total: Rank 3rd Wettest Year

We could get the 2nd spot this week. It will be close…

 

Morning Snapshot

Temperatures 

Note: Ocean City was down to 30ºF, but mid 30s to near 40ºF by the water.

Radar Simulation —> slider

Rain will spread in from the southwest mid afternoon until evening. It may reach Washington DC by their afternoon commute. Most of us get the heavy rain tonight.

 

Storm Animation Tuesday

Rain Total

 

Thursday Event: Starting As Wintry Mix?

The European Model does show a start as snow and sleet through central Maryland… but during the day. If this verifies, the ground is too warm for this to be a road issue.

 1 PM 7 PM

 

GFS Model

This model now agrees on the timing of the arrival, but has any icy mix isolated to the far northern suburbs and western Maryland.

 

Temperature Outlook

Cold Stuff

Normal First Frost/Freeze Dates

 

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

 

 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.

 

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