Tuesday November 13 2018

The current storm is moving away, but there will be some rain showers left over this morning. Temperatures will reach their peak around noon, then cool off for the kids getting home and late day commute.  Some snow will break out in western Maryland. But fast forward to Thursday and more of us will see snow as the next storm arrives.

At this time it looks like what falls will look more impressive than what may stick. It is early in the season, but the system has followed the trend to arrive earlier. So we get a better chance to act on morning air to break out snow for the arrival. More on that below.

Local Weather Stats For November 13 in Baltimore

Average High:  58ºF

Record High: 77ºF in 1979

Average  Low: 37ºF

Record Low:  22ºF in 1911

Sunrise: 6:47 AM

Sunset 4:53 PM 

*Daylight = 1:58 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 53ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


Rainfall 2018 Total: Rank 3rd Wettest Year

This chart includes rain through midnight. We added more since then… We could get the top spot Thursday or Friday


Morning Snapshot 





Radar Simulation Today —> slider

Showers this morning. Snow develops in the mountains and one more batch of rain may make it to Hagerstown this afternoon.

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It will be warmer at noon, then cooler by 4 PM

Noon (Highs)

4 PM



Thursday Coastal Storm

Since this will arrive in the morning, more sleet and snow will be seen.


Radar Simulation Thursday —> slider

The question is stickage? The ground is warm and temperatures may be above freezing while flakes and sleet fall during the day. That will eat into any model showing snow totals. I will elaborate on this during my afternoon report.

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Storm Animation

The storm will have us on the colder side, but warmer air will move in with rain Thursday evening into Friday morning. This appears to show a secondary Low forming right along the Delmarva coast as the initial Low moves out to sea.


How Much Snow?

Warning: I do not trust modeling early in the season. I have seen a lot of maps with large totals, but not all of that can stick. I will do a comparison and update on this during my afternoon update.


Temperature Outlook



Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs




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Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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