Wednesday November 14

We are set up for our first winter event of the season. It will be a coastal storm, but the impact will be moderate at best.  There are still a few prime factors to consider. First will be temperatures and where the freezing line will set up.  In addition to that, The ground is still warm, plus the bulk of the event will compete with daylight.  Plus, this will not be all snow. After it begins, there will be a gradual a mix of sleet and freezing rain.

Below is the breakdown of the event and updated call for your area.

Local Weather Stats For November 14 in Baltimore

Average High:  57ºF

Record High: 77ºF in 1989

Average  Low: 37ºF

Record Low:  18ºF in 1986

                         *Record Snow: 33.2″ 1908

Sunrise: 6:48 AM

Sunset 4:52 PM 

*Daylight = 1:56 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 51ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Rainfall 2018 Total: Rank 3rd Wettest Year

This chart includes rain through Tuesday. We need less than 1″ of precipitation and should get the top spot this week.


Morning Snapshot

Satellite Loop

The plume of tropical moisture continues to flow. The origin of the next storm will flow across the same area of Florida where Michael made landfall and a few Nor’easters already tracked from *Atmospheric Memory


High Temperatures This Afternoon

Storm Highlights—> slider

The arrival of the first flakes should be near Washington around 6 AM and then spread across central Maryland between 6 and 8 AM. Southern PA (York, Lancaster) may get it between 8 and 10 AM.

There may be a brief period of ending as snow Friday morning in the same colder spots.

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Temperatures—> slider

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Storm Animation (slowed down to view better)


My Call For Snowfall (and other stuff)

There will be more snow on the grass than pavement. Not all roads will respond the same. The best chance for stickage will be Thursday morning and in shaded areas or north sides of hills.

A 5″+ Snow Mostly Snow. Travel advisories should to be issued.

Highest totals on the elevations over 2,000 Ft.


3″ + Snow

And Icy Mix


Roads may get slick in the morning to noon. Slow thaw afternoon and evening. Travel advisories likely to be issued.

May end as snow Friday morning.


1″-2″+ Snow

And Some Ice


Roads may have tried need for salting early.

Travel advisories ‘may’ to be issued.


Starts As Snow/Sleet.

Coating To 1″

Quick Change To Rain


Some coating on car tops, landscaping. Roads should stay wet.

May be brief start as sleet.

Then Rain


Temperatures are too warm for wintry weather.


Total Precipitation 

BWI needs 0.98″ of rain to tie the record for wettest year. This total of 1.5″ will be more than enough to get the top spot. Note: There are still 6 weeks left in the year to add to the total.


Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 




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Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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