Wednesday November 21 2019

This big travel day before Thanksgiving may have some travel concern if you are heading north to Pennsylvania or New York. The near record cold air we’ve discussed on the way will have a strong arctic front to bring it in. This really looks like a mid winter pattern and it will look like it in some areas. Track the line of snow squalls this afternoon below.

Thanksgiving Day will be painful cold, especially if you are doing a Turkey Trot in the morning. Temperatures and wind chills below. The good thing is that it will keep many indoors and hopefully force families together to reconnect.

Next up will be the frigid Thanksgiving and then a weekend storm that may start with freezing rain. That might explain why some counties have those pretreated lines down on the pavement. This showed up on Frederick roads yesterday. Tina Cline was surprised along with many of her friends.  I can only imagine it was one before the holiday expecting it to stay on the roads for the weekend, when it might be more expensive to bring in the same personal todo the job???

 

Local Weather Stats For November 21 in Baltimore

Average High:  54ºF

Record High: 79ºF in 1900

Average  Low: 35ºF

Record Low:  16ºF in 1951

                         *Record Snow:  Trace in 2008

Sunrise: 6:56 AM

Sunset 4:47 PM 

*Daylight = 1:41 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 49ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Also See: Smoke from CA Fires Reached The East Coast


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Morning Snapshot

 

Temperatures

 

Arctic Front –> slider

Snow with the front will reach central PA around 3 PM. It should break apart, but some flurries may fall around Harrisburg, York, Lancaster, and maybe northern Maryland. The real cold air arrives this evening.

 

Afternoon Highs

Thanksgiving – Morning

What it will FEEL LIKE

 

Thanksgiving Afternoon

The record COLDEST MAX TEMPERATURE for Baltimore on November 22:

28ºF set in 1880

 

Storm Animation

Rain arrives Saturday… It may begin with sleet in the mountains. Then turn heavy by evening.  The next system next will will reinforce the cold winter like patten

 

 

Outlook

Storm Pattern

 

 

Temperatures

There may be a brief warm up by November 30, but the pattern will lock in with the very cold air during the start of December. Look for a few storms during the first 10 days of December.

 

 

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Keep In Touch Every Day

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The FITF Store Is Open With Gear And SnowStix

 

Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

 

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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