Monday November 26 2018

The Blizzard charging through the midwest is exceeding expectations. After hitting Kansas City with their worst storm in years, Chicago got their share overnight. A meteorologist off duty from NWS, recorded video from his home just as lightning and thunder snow hit. Turn up the volume as you will see the flash, then hear wind mixed in the thunder…

 

 

That Blizzard is spinning itself out and losing some punch as it spreads across Michigan and into upstate New York. Lake Effect snow will be the big story behind this storm during the week. That will include snow in western Maryland and the ski resorts of WV and western PA  beginning later today.

Locally we get rain, then the cold air. Take a look below, but maybe you are in the mood now for FITF? While riding your keyboards indoors on this Cyber Monday, stop by the FITF store to get some gifts for your favorite snow lover.

 

The FITF Store Is Open With Gear And SnowStix

Cyber Monday Sale = 20%

 

Use Code: SNOW20

Local Weather Stats For November 25 in Baltimore

Average High:  52ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1979

Average  Low: 34ºF

Record Low:  15ºF in 1950

                         *Record Snow:  4.5″ in 1898 

Sunrise: 7:01 AM

Sunset 4:45 PM 

*Daylight = 1:29 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 47ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

Record Rain Year Update:

 

 

Morning SnapShot

Temperatures

Radar Loop

Check out that circulation in the upper left in northern Indiana. That is the core Low of the storm. Note- this is not color coded for winter precipitation.

 

Radar Simulation —> slider

Rain will be spotty, but may be heavy on the Eastern Shore this afternoon.  Following the storm, heavy snow will develop across western Maryland and West Virginia.

 

High Temperatures 

 

Storm Animation

After this storm, we have a dry week with the cold air. The next event will be Friday that may start with ice in the mountains. This needs to be monitored for timing. The last few events came in faster, and that could time up with the cold air for more areas.

 

 

Temperature Outlook

There will be another warm up ahead of the pattern change. This European Model does tend to overdo extremes with temps, so that 68ºF might be a little warmer than we end up. Something to look forward to anyway for those that don’t want winter to arrive.

 

North Atlantic Oscillation 

We will get our pattern change to show up between December 5 and 8 as the GFS shows a crashing NAO deep into negative territory.

I will not get more specific at this time as it is too early to pin down individual storms. But the pattern becomes more favorable at this time.

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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