November 27 2018

A windy Wednesday just flows off the tongue, if you can catch your breath. A Wind Advisory goes into effect at 6 AM and lasts through 4 PM on November 28 for most of our region. This is for winds that could gust to 45 mph (or higher). That can take down some tree branches or power lines. It may also move holiday decorations across the neighborhood.

A strong storm in Maine will be cranking in mid-winter fashion. While it blows fresh snow on the New England ski resorts and Lake Effect will pound central New York, we just get the cold winds.  The tight pressure gradient will result in increasing winds throughout the day.

 

Wind Timeline

There may be two impulses of wind. The top winds should be in the morning to mid day. But due to the dynamics of the storm, we could get a second surge of strong winds in the evening after the advisory expires. It will remain cold all day.  So that despite the temperatures, it will feel like the 20s.  Here are two views of the winds during the day. 1) Gusts; and 2) Wind Speed every other hour.

 

Wind Gusts —> slider

This model projection is still limited. There will be areas across a broader region that could gust higher than shown

 

Wind Speed —> slider

Most of the day, wind speeds measured as a 1 minute average will range between 15 and 30 mph. The gusts will be the surges that push 45 mph.

 

Looking Ahead

After the winds settle back, we will have a dry Thursday and most of Friday. Showers will return Friday afternoon/evening. Rain is likely on Saturday afternoon and night, ending Sunday morning.

 

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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