Monday December 3 2018

The fog was stubborn over the weekend but it is finally fading and falling apart. Even though you may run into some along I-95 in northeastern Maryland early, the winds will guarantee an improvement. Cecil County Public Schools are on a 2 hour delay for the fog.

We have a mild day in store, but the winds will be shifting to a colder direction to bring snow back to western Maryland and set up the pattern change we’ve talked about for weeks.

Is snow the way?

We could still have flurries or snow showers on Wednesday, and next weekend leaves the door open for a larger storm. Models tend to have trouble but there definitely enough to keep it on the calendar. See more below.


Local Weather

Local Weather Stats For December 3 in Baltimore

Average High:  49ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1998

Average  Low: 31ºF

Record Low:  11ºF in 1976

                         *Record Snow:  2.0″ in 1907

Sunrise: 7:09 AM

Sunset 4:43 PM 

*Daylight = 1:08 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 44ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


Record Rain Year Update:

Saturday brought 0.23″ to BWI. The yearly total is now 65.51″


The FITF Store Is Open With Gear And SnowStix

A portion of all proceeds for FITF and SnowStix goes to our nonprofit Just In Power Kids- providing FREE holistic care for kids in and post cancer treatment.

Special New Gift Idea

Before we get started today, I wanted to share something new: There was a lot of activity over the holiday weekend that I wanted offer the most popular combo as a gift idea. These Tees and hats go perfectly together, and grouping then will be discounted:


Morning  SnapShot


Wind Shift Timeline —> slider

Notice the wind shifting to the west and northwest. This will clear out the fog and eventually bring in colder air.

[metaslider id=69159]


Afternoon Highs


This Evening: Snow Showers Return To The Mountains



Mid Week Snow Showers?

I know this looked like a chance of snow that fell apart, but…. There will be a disturbance in the atmosphere that could still provide some flakes on Wednesday December 5th.


December 5th- FITF Day

Gather your friends and co-workers: Wear your #FITF gear to honor and celebrate this unique calendar holiday. This is the date almost every year last decade marked the first snow of each winter season.  I will have the history to show shortly.


Next Weekend Snow?

  • I was hesitant to show this a few days ago because it was too far out in time, but it was consistent for a few days…
  • Models have a tendency to lose some storms in the 5 to 7 day time window, then bring it back. It could be what we are seeing here.
  • Both the European (ECMWF) and GFS models show the system staying south.
  • However, the GFS has an experimental upgrade. A lot of money has been infused to improve this on the basis of the ECMWF but with an improvement. The vision still has the storm and this will be a good test:


FV3- GFS Upgrade TEST Model


Temperature Outlook


FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 




Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.