Thursday December 13 2018

Just a few days ago it looked like we may have some snow showers this morning. That has fallen under the some trend as that last storm and shifted to the north. No worries locally this morning, but snow is pushing through northern PA and central New York as warmer air is moving in for us. Then we shift our focus to rain form the south that will reach us Friday afternoon and could be heavy by at night and Saturday morning. This will add to our record wet year, only to be followed by colder air after it passes.

If you are holding out for snow, we will have some Lake Effect showers try to reach us on Monday. Beyond that the long range pattern looks more promising Christmas week.

 

Local Weather Stats For December 13 in Baltimore

Average High:  46ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 2015

Average  Low: 29ºF

Record Low:  8ºF in 1960

                         *Record Snow:  7.6″ in 1966

Sunrise: 7:17 AM

Sunset 4:43 PM 

*Daylight = 0:33 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 40ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Morning Temperatures

 

Afternoon High Temperatures

Mid 40s to near 50ºF will feel warm

 

Rain Friday —> slider

This will arrive during the afternoon and could be heavy at night

 

Heavier Rain Saturday Morning

 

Rain Totals – By Mid Day Saturday

Baltimore forecast of 1.3″ to over 2 inches in Southern Maryland.

 

Storm Animation

  • Rain will move in Friday afternoon and evening.
  • Rain will linger Saturday afternoon and more showers Sunday
  • Monday- Turning Colder with snow showers to our north

 

 

Monday Snow Showers?

The GFS Model does cut the snow back to the mountains, but there is a lot of upper air support to carry them into central Maryland.

 

Long Range Outlook

The next batch of cold air to hold in place may be Christmas Week. I do not look at specific numbers that far out. The trend turning colder and below average is the important take away… It will be colder for the holiday week.

 

 

Snow Day Kit

Our ritual the night before a storm is finally in one kit. Maybe if more Maryland kids had this, the storm would reach us 🙂

  • This includes a very soft raglan Tee printed inside out with #FITF AND the check list,  #FITF spoon for under your pillow, ice cube tray with snowflake shapes, chalk, a #FITF wrist-band, a mini SnowStix, and a bag to carry it all in.
  • Order by December 14 and it should arrive for the holiday.
  • This will also help us give a free Snow Day Kit to each of the Just In Power Kids.

 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

 

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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