Tuesday December 18 2018

This morning starts off chilly but nothing out of the ordinary. In fact looking ahead this week to yet another storm, warmer air will be streaming with it. There is a possibility that this event puts Baltimore over 70 inches on the year and temperatures will surge into the upper 50s and lower 60s almost erasing the cold air we had this month.  So, where is the snow?

This Morning…

Our weekend storm is still producing snow in eastern Maine, while the upper level winds have carried Lake Effect snow across central NY.


The outlook does bring back some colder air in time for Christmas and we could have some flurries around the holiday.  The long rain outlook does show a shift back to what was expected a month ago. A push of arctic air in the jet stream will set up around the New Year with potential snow. I DO NOT like to suggest storms two weeks away, so I will not show the maps for it. But the pattern itself if leaning back in that direction for January.


Local Weather Stats For December 18 in Baltimore

Average High:  44ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 2006

Average  Low: 27ºF

Record Low:  7ºF in 1919

                         *Record Snow:  4.0″ in 1916

Sunrise: 7:20 AM

Sunset 4:45 PM 

*Daylight = 0:14 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 43ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


Bullet Point Weather

  • Tuesday = Dry
  • Wednesday = Dry
  • Thursday =  Showers arrive afternoon, rain at night
  • Friday = Morning rain, afternoon showers. Warm air surges ‘near’ 60ºF
  • Saturday Windy and cooler



  • Christmas Eve/Day = Colder with possible flurries



Temperatures Today


Afternoon Highs


Storm Animation Thursday Through Saturday


Rainfall Potential


Rainfall Record Review

Temperature Outlook


Weather Outlook

The North Atlantic Oscillation shows us trends for the jet stream in the northern part of the Western Hemisphere. I need to point out that the forecast big drop in November for early December did not verify. That is one reason we have not had our big storm yet.  But there are other signals to support that this drop will happen at the end of December.

  • Index values above zero tend to mean warmer for us. But while they are rising we can have some transition wintry precip. That is why I see flurries around Christmas.
  • Index values below zero are colder.
  • When the index is falling, we often have the best chance for colder storms to move up the eastern US coast.


Snow Day Kit

Our ritual the night before a storm is finally in one kit. Maybe if more Maryland kids had this, the storm would reach us 🙂

  • This includes a very soft raglan Tee printed inside out with #FITF AND the check list,  #FITF spoon for under your pillow, ice cube tray with snowflake shapes, chalk, a #FITF wrist-band, a mini SnowStix, and a bag to carry it all in.
  • New Orders are likely to be delivered after the holiday.
  • This will also help us give a free Snow Day Kit to each of the Just In Power Kids.



FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 




Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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