Wednesday December 19 2018

Today is the anniversary of our largest December snowfall. It was back in 2009 in a storm that included thundersnow and blizzard conditions in Baltimore. That was the start of our epic winter with three blizzards and 77 inches of snow. Now we are staring at the 70 inch mark for rain.

It is cold this morning with thick frost and no snow rain expected today. The next storm will arrive with rain by Thursday afternoon and turn heavy into Friday morning. This will bring up to 2 inches of rain and prompted a Flood Watch for our entire region. This storm will gradually pump in very warm air, possibly taking up from the upper 30s Thursday afternoon to the 60s Friday morning.  Then it gets interesting leading into Christmas.

 

This Morning

Local Weather Stats For December 19 in Baltimore

Average High:  44ºF

Record High: 66ºF in 1931

Average  Low: 27ºF

Record Low:  6ºF in 1989

                         *Record Snow:  17.0″ in 2009

Sunrise: 7:21 AM

Sunset 4:45 PM 

*Daylight = 0:11 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 42ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Bullet Point Weather

  • Wednesday = Cold morning; Dry afternoon.
  • Thursday =  Showers arrive mid day; Heavy rain at night
  • Friday = Morning rain, afternoon showers. Warm air surges ‘near’ 60ºF
  • Saturday Windy and cooler

Outlook

Possible Christmas Snow? It depends on which model is correct, but now that it is less than 1 week away, we can track it…

 

Let’s skip ahead to Thursday

 

Rain Timeline Thursday—> slider

 

Afternoon Temperatures: Chilly

 

 

Friday Morning Temperatures: Warm

 

Still Wet Friday

 

 

Storm Animation

 

Reminder of Our Rain Potential

 

Reaching 70 Inches Of Rain This Year

There is a good chance even if we end up on the lower end of rainfall, that Baltimore will reach 70 inches in this epic record year.

Skipping Ahead To Christmas

Temperatues will trend back to seasonably cold levels for the holiday. But there is a split on the modeling as to where there will be a storm around or not. I can not jump on this notion with only one model, but it has heavy weight since it is the respected European Model. Compare Christmas night between the ECMWF Model and the American FV3-GFS Model showing nothing.  Hmmmm…

I am just throwing it out there at this point… Besides, it will be fun to follow for a few days. Don’t change your plans… yet.

A very different view on the American Model

 

Temperature Outlook

 

Snow Day Kit

Our ritual the night before a storm is finally in one kit. Maybe if more Maryland kids had this, the storm would reach us 🙂

  • This includes a very soft raglan Tee printed inside out with #FITF AND the check list,  #FITF spoon for under your pillow, ice cube tray with snowflake shapes, chalk, a #FITF wrist-band, a mini SnowStix, and a bag to carry it all in.
  • New Orders are likely to be delivered after the holiday.
  • This will also help us give a free Snow Day Kit to each of the Just In Power Kids.

 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

 

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.