January 16 2019

We have a very active and very complicated weather pattern over the next few days. Two weather systems will both bring a mix of snow, ice, and rain to our area. While this alone can be stressful for travel and plans, the arctic high pressure following the second storm is really going to make a abrupt drop in our temperatures. This is really going to bring an air mass from near the North Pole to North Carolina by early next week.


Details On Both Events

I wrote two posts this afternoon to highlight both weather systems. Considering the amount of messages I received asking questions about each storm, I realized that my afternoon updates may have not reached your newsfeed. So here is a recap and quick breakdown.

Please click on the images for the detailed report.


Event 1 Thursday Night/Friday Morning

  • Thursday: Light snow or sleet showers afternoon. Impact marginal before 6 PM
  • Thursday night: Snow north, mix to rain south. Impact increases after 8 PM.
  • Snow will range up to an inch or two north, to just grass south of Baltimore.
  • Classic icy areas will be near I-95 and north/west. City and south has a better chance to thaw by Friday morning.

Click here to see the snow/rain timeline


Event 2 Saturday Afternoon To Sunday Night


Flash Freeze!

Quick Cast Notes:

  • Saturday afternoon or evening may bring in light snow or sleet at the start.
  • Saturday night into Sunday morning change to rain from south to north.
    • ICE may linger near the PA line or across southern PA. That extended icing is what the European Model shows. However the warming will be fighting north. We must consider more weight to the north push like last weekend’s event.
  • Sunday afternoon and evening it will get cold. FAST! Change to snow, but amounts are not know. NO ONE knows how much we will get since the timing of the change over is up for debate.
  • Sunday night and Monday morning the entire region will be in a deep freeze . The MLK holiday will be a break for schools, but anyone whoo has to work will feel the results.

Click here to see this full report


Getting Colder

This is just the beginning.

We are expecting the fractured Polar Vortex to unload even colder air before the end of January and into February.


My next update will be Thursday morning by 6:30 AM


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New Partner

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History