Tuesday February 26 2019

The wind storm is over and cold air is left behind. There will be a breeze today average 10 mph, which will seem more calm and quiet. But cold air has settled back in and there will be slight wind chills to remind us it is still winter.

We are far from done with the snow. In fact the weather map today looks split with snow to the north and rain to the south, but the pattern will link up and line up for us to get snow by Friday morning. It looks like there may be a few more chances of snow through next week.



Local Weather Stats For February 26, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  48ºF

Record High: 74ºF in 1932

Average  Low: 22ºF

Record Low:  2ºF in 1904

                         *Record Snow:  = 3.0″ in 1993

Sunrise: 6:43 AM

Sunset 5:55 PM 

*Daylight = 2:30 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Morning Set Up

Water Vapor Satellite Loop

We can expect a mix of clouds and sun today. The split slow keeps snow across the Great Lakes and some rain in the south. These two tracks will link up for us at the end of the week. 


Temperatures at 6 AM



Afternoon Temperatures




Active Weather Pattern

The American GFS Model shows snow Friday morning, rain Saturday, then snow again Tuesday next week. Just for argument sake, the European Model actually shows the second rounds of snow on Saturday closer and multiple snow chances next week.


Friday Morning Snapshots

GFS Model

Light Snow: Less than 1 inch


European Model

Steady Snow: Total up to 2 inches


Canadian Model

Freezing Line North of Baltimore: Total snow between 1 and 3 inches.


The Friday morning event will be a minor one, but timing might be enough for some school impact with delays.

Next week: I have seen multiple solutions with one or a few more hits of snow. It is to early to lock down, but a very high chance that the first two weeks of March will be much colder than average. I will have more on this in my afternoon update.


Temperature Outlook






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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History