Wednesday February 27 2019

Temperatures have chilled down and will remain cold for a while. The next two days will be quiet, but we are still expecting a little snow on Friday morning. This will be a weak system but timing out around sunrise so that it could have some travel impact. It still looks like between a dusting and 2 inches of snow is possible. The problem is that the array of computer models are having trouble locking in on this and a very active weather pattern through next week. March will be coming in like a lion.

This morning the pattern is split. The outlook will combine forces for us to get more active weather next week.

  • Northern branch: Snow rising the through the Great Lakes into New England.
  • Southern brach: Rain across the Gulf Coast

Wednesday February 27 snow storm weather



Friday Snow Notes

?Not a major storm.

?Dusting to 2 inches, mostly early morning Friday

?Slick roads possible Friday morning

?School delays❓

❄️Ends by mid-day Friday

Compare the computer model maps below 



Local Weather Stats For February 27, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  48ºF

Record High: 76ºF in 1997

Average  Low: 29ºF

Record Low:  9ºF in 1934

                         *Record Snow:  = 3.5″ in 1940

Sunrise: 6:42 AM

Sunset 5:56 PM 

*Daylight = 2:31 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 39ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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Morning  Temperatures


Afternoon Highs

Thursday Afternoon Highs

Friday Morning Low Temperatures 

Where the snow falls, it will be cold enough to stick


Friday Morning Snow

The NAM Model does appear to be the most aggressive. It tends to do that, but I have seen it lead the charge with a few event this year that earned it some credit. Compare this to other models below.


Friday Morning Computer Model Comparison




European Model


GFS Model


Canadian GEM Model


Friday Snow Notes

?Not a major storm.

?Dusting to 2 inches, mostly early morning Friday

?Slick roads possible Friday morning

?School delays❓

❄️Ends by noon Friday

I will continue to update this with a better chance for snow potential this afternoon



This weekend: Another storm is likely top bring us rain

Next Week: A few storms but the computer modeling is all over the place. It would be a disservice to show you them now without any consistency of timing and type of ‘stuff’ that will fall.  Why I feel comfortable showing you is the jet stream that will be dominated by a cold flow. That also has energy to bring multiple weather systems for the first week of March

Blue: Colder than climatological average


Temperature Outlook


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History