Sunday Mar 3 2019

What’s it like by you? Was it snowing and then turned to sleet or rain? Or, are you in the region with all snow and roads are completely covered? Now that we are in the dark hours of the evening, the storm is expected to pulse with its peak of whatever it will do for you. The subtle wobble of the snow and mix line is moving through metro Baltimore.

This is all on schedule as well as the snow falling with temperatures above freezing. But now that it is dark, there is a better chance for stickage on the roads…

The storm will end shortly after midnight, but the cold air will try to move in before morning… even into Baltimore City. See the new radar simulation and temperature timelines below.

But there has been a push north of the sleet and rain lines. A slight adjustment of the Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories. Some areas have had their advisories cancelled. But, the Winter Weather Advisory is still in place for western Montgomery, Howard, south Baltimore and city, plus Kent County in the Eastern Shore.

 

Evening Conditions

Again, there can be a wide range of weather conditions just 20 to 40 miles apart. Metro Baltimore happens to be the dividing line. A winter wonderland to the north, and just a chilly rain to the south.

 

Radar Simulation —> slider

The places that remain in the snow will continue to add to their accumulation. There will be more to pile up now without competition from the sun.

There is another important factor to consider tonight: The temperatures. Below is a new radar simulation and temperature timeline from the High Resolution Rapid Refresh Model (HRRR). This my help show where the snow is holding, but also that the freezing temps will try to move east .

Temperature Timeline —> slider

It may be icy in the morning. The snow zone should be crunchy at daybreak. The mix areas including metro Baltimore may get a few hours at below freezing to cause some elevated surfaces and side roads to ice up as well. This will be worth evaluating early in the morning.

 

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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History