Friday April 19 2019

There are multiple weather concerns today so I encourage you to take them seriously and keep checking in often. The Severe Storm risk has continue to expand northward and it will be active from mid afternoon through tonight. The warm start to the day in the mid 60s will get a boost with some breaks of sun. That will fuel a widespread outbreak of active weather just as holiday travel increases for the first night of Passover and Easter Weekend. Storms may contain all severe qualifiers in addition to flooding both from heavy rain and water bing pushed up the Chesapeake Bay.

Here is a look at the severe storms today and radar simulation timeline. We may have showers lingering Saturday morning, but the storms should be exiting the beaches around sunrise. Then we may dry out Saturday evening with more showers returning in the cooler air Easter Sunday.

Severe Storm Risk

  • Winds reaching 60 mph
  • Large hail 1 inch in diameter (quarter size)
  • Isolated Tornadoes

 

Severe Alert Notes:

IF we get any severe weather alerts, this is what is most important to keep in mind:

A WATCH means it MIGHT happen

A WARNING means it IS HAPPENING NOW!  This can be tracked across counties and towns with more precision and need to seek strong shelter.

 

Flood Watch

  • Flash Flood: Rainfall may reach 3 inches in ‘training’ storms (multiple storms tracking over the same area)
  • Coastal Flood: Winds from the south to southeast will push water up the Bay. Also, today is a full moon, already increasing the high tides

 

 

Local Weather Stats For April 19, 2019 in Baltimore

FULL MOON Today

Average High:  66ºF

Record High: 93ºF in 1896

Average  Low: 44ºF

Record Low:  24ºF in 1875

                         *Record Snow:  = T in 1983

Sunrise: 6:24 AM

Sunset 7:47 PM  

*Daylight = 2:24 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 52ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

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Morning Set Up

Already a warm start!

 

Storm line already igniting tornado watches in the south

 

Afternoon High Temperatures

These temps may top out by 1 PM. Any sun will add more fuel and instability to afternoon storms

 

Radar Simulation Timeline —> slider

Note that giving specific times for storms is difficult since one cluster will be exiting through the eastern Shore as anther will arrive from the west and south.

 

Rain Total

 

Storm Animations

NAM 3 Km Model Through Saturday Morning

Notice the storm line at the beaches Monday Morning

 

Easter Weekend Rain

The GFS Model shows rain lingering Saturday morning, but a break later in the day. Then more showers with cooler air Easter Sunday

 

Temperature Outlook

 

 

 

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