Friday April 19 2019
There are multiple weather concerns today so I encourage you to take them seriously and keep checking in often. The Severe Storm risk has continue to expand northward and it will be active from mid afternoon through tonight. The warm start to the day in the mid 60s will get a boost with some breaks of sun. That will fuel a widespread outbreak of active weather just as holiday travel increases for the first night of Passover and Easter Weekend. Storms may contain all severe qualifiers in addition to flooding both from heavy rain and water bing pushed up the Chesapeake Bay.
Here is a look at the severe storms today and radar simulation timeline. We may have showers lingering Saturday morning, but the storms should be exiting the beaches around sunrise. Then we may dry out Saturday evening with more showers returning in the cooler air Easter Sunday.
Severe Storm Risk
- Winds reaching 60 mph
- Large hail 1 inch in diameter (quarter size)
- Isolated Tornadoes
Severe Alert Notes:
IF we get any severe weather alerts, this is what is most important to keep in mind:
A WATCH means it MIGHT happen
A WARNING means it IS HAPPENING NOW! This can be tracked across counties and towns with more precision and need to seek strong shelter.
- Flash Flood: Rainfall may reach 3 inches in ‘training’ storms (multiple storms tracking over the same area)
- Coastal Flood: Winds from the south to southeast will push water up the Bay. Also, today is a full moon, already increasing the high tides
Local Weather Stats For April 19, 2019 in Baltimore
FULL MOON Today
Average High: 66ºF
Record High: 93ºF in 1896
Average Low: 44ºF
Record Low: 24ºF in 1875
*Record Snow: = T in 1983
Sunrise: 6:24 AM
Sunset 7:47 PM
*Daylight = 2:24 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 52ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Morning Set Up
Already a warm start!
Storm line already igniting tornado watches in the south
Afternoon High Temperatures
These temps may top out by 1 PM. Any sun will add more fuel and instability to afternoon storms
Radar Simulation Timeline —> slider
Note that giving specific times for storms is difficult since one cluster will be exiting through the eastern Shore as anther will arrive from the west and south.
NAM 3 Km Model Through Saturday Morning
Notice the storm line at the beaches Monday Morning
Easter Weekend Rain
The GFS Model shows rain lingering Saturday morning, but a break later in the day. Then more showers with cooler air Easter Sunday
Maryland Trek 6
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