Sunday May 19 2019

Today’s weather brings some in Maryland to the 90ºF mark and a round of potentially severe thunderstorms. It is important to keep the set up in mind as it may repeat later this week, with more heat and stronger storms.

Severe storms did reach central Maryland on Saturday with pockets of hail and heavy rain. Across the nation, this has been the most active four day with tornados this year.  The entire week will be busy, and we have two windows of time to get in on it. Today will be one, the other will be the end of the work week.

Severe Storm Today:

The timing will be late afternoon through sunset. The risk:

  • Winds over 58 mph
  • Large hail over 1 inch diameter (size of a quarter)
  • Isolated tornados
  • Frequent dangerous lightning

 

 

Morning Weather Map

A front is till draped across our state. This will determine who gets into the 90s or stays in the 80s. Often on the northern edge of the heat is where the strong pulse of storms will ride.

Radar Simulation Timeline –> slider

 

Local Weather Stats For May 19, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  75ºF

Record High: 98ºF in 1962

*Tied for hottest ever for the month

Average  Low: 53ºF

Record Low:  38ºF in 2009

Sunrise: 5:49 AM

Sunset 8:16 PM  

*Daylight = 1:41 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 65ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Weather Forecast Below 

 

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Temperatures

Today

Will 90ºF reach Washington. How about Baltimore?

This NAM 3Km Model shows a stark difference  between the two cities less than 40 miles apart.

 

The GFS Model has the front move east and gets Baltimore into the warmer air.

Yes, the forecast has a 9 degree difference for the city. It really depends on where the front sets up, which may also determine where the storms play out as well.

 

 

Looking Ahead

A large heat dome will develop across the southeastern US.  The location and size of this will determine if ewe get in on to or remain on the edge like this weekend’s temps. That could make the difference between getting into the 90s or staying in the 80s with a greater risk of storms.

 

Temperature Outlook

I have had some people remark how different the outlook has been almost each day. This all depends on the heat dome/ridge to our south. Either we get in on it, which history suggests. Or we stay on the northern edge with more risk of storms like this weekend’s set up. I am leaning towards the heat, so these numbers could easily be higher than shown here now.

 

 

 

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