May 29 2019

Today will bring us high heat into the mid 90s and a trigger in the atmosphere to use that fuel for storms to form. The Storm Prediction Center has most of our region in the Enhanced Risk for storms to turn severe. The radar simulation below shows that there will be scattered storms in the afternoon, then a larger line developing in PA this evening and dropping south tonight.

 

Severe Storm Qualifier:

  • Winds over 58 mph
  • Large hail over 1 inch diameter
  • Isolated Tornados

Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.

Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.

 

Local Weather Stats For May 29, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  78ºF

Record High: 97ºF in 1969

Average  Low: 56ºF

Record Low:  41ºF in 1997

Sunrise: 5:43 AM

Sunset 8:26 PM  

*Daylight = 1:17 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 71ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Weather Forecast Below 

 

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Morning Satellite Loop (3 Hours Ending 6:15 AM)

Plenty of activity in the atmosphere to our west.

 

Afternoon High Temperatures

Plenty of heat to fuel the rising air and storm development.

 

Radar Simulation —> slider

Short range models have not seen all recent storms.

I am showing this to highlight two phases:

  • 3 PM to 6 PM – Isolated storms will develop and move west to east.
  • 6 PM to 11 PM – A larger line will drop southeast from out from PA

 

Note More storms with severe potential are also expected tomorrow

 

Temperature Outlook

 

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