Sunday June 16 2019
If you wanted summer weather, it has returned. Sort of. Temperatures are warmer and the humidity is up. That will remain all week along with the risk of thunderstorms every day. Today, the focus of energy appears to be mid afternoon and evening directly over our area. We have a slight risk for severe storms between Washington and Annapolis north to York and Lancaster in PA. Basically between Rt 50 and I-76.
Severe Storm Qualifier:
- Winds over 58 mph
- Large hail over 1 inch diameter
- Isolated Tornado
Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.
Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.
Morning Radar Loop (2 Hours ending 7:50 AM)
A line of showers is already approaching from the west. See the forecast timeline slider.
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Local Weather Stats: Friday June 16, 2019 in Baltimore
Average High: 83ºF
Record High: 99ºF in 1991
Average Low: 62ºF
Record Low: 50ºF in 1961
Sunrise: 5:39 AM
Sunset 8:35 PM
*Daylight = 0:19 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 71ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Morning Rain Timeline —> slider
The morning showers will fade to sprinkles. This is NOT the focus for today.
Afternoon High Temperatures
Afternoon Storms Timeline —> slider
- Reminder: This is a suggestion, not a promise. The timing may be off by up to 1 hour and the location is not precise. This model is for a suggestion of how the storms may play out.
- Here we see mid afternoon between southern PA and central Maryland. The biggest hit in Baltimore around 6 PM.
- This evening and tonight the focus will shift to Delmarva
Severe Storm Risk Today
Severe Storm Risk Monday
We may have a repeat tomorrow with a shift southward to include southern Maryland and the beaches.
Rain Outlook Sunday Through Friday
This is from the new upgraded GFS Model. This was formerly the FV3
The risk of rain and days with strong or severe storms will be with us all week.
Rain Animation Sunday Through Friday
New GFS Model
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