Sunday June 16 2019

If you wanted summer weather, it has returned. Sort of. Temperatures are warmer and the humidity is up. That will remain all week along with the risk of thunderstorms every day. Today, the focus of energy appears to be mid afternoon and evening directly over our area. We have a slight risk for severe storms between Washington and Annapolis north to York and Lancaster in PA. Basically between Rt 50 and I-76.

 

Severe Storm Qualifier:

  • Winds over 58 mph
  • Large hail over 1 inch diameter
  • Isolated Tornado

Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.

Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.

 

Morning Radar Loop (2 Hours ending 7:50 AM)

A line of showers is already approaching from the west. See the forecast timeline slider.

 

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Local Weather Stats: Friday June 16, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  83ºF

Record High: 99ºF in 1991

Average  Low: 62ºF

Record Low:  50ºF in 1961

Sunrise: 5:39 AM

Sunset 8:35 PM  

*Daylight = 0:19 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 71ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

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Weather Today

Morning Temperatures

Morning Rain Timeline —> slider

The morning showers will fade to sprinkles. This is NOT the focus for today.

 

Afternoon High Temperatures

Afternoon Storms Timeline —> slider

  • Reminder: This is a suggestion, not a promise. The timing may be off by up to 1 hour and the location is not precise. This model is for a suggestion of how the storms may play out.
  • Here we see mid afternoon between southern PA and central Maryland. The biggest hit in Baltimore around 6 PM.
  • This evening and tonight the focus will shift to Delmarva

 

Severe Storm Risk Today

 

Severe Storm Risk Monday

We may have a repeat tomorrow with a shift southward to include southern Maryland and the beaches.

 

Rain Outlook Sunday Through Friday

This is from the new upgraded GFS Model. This was formerly the FV3

The risk of rain and days with strong or severe storms will be with us all week.

 

 

Rain Animation Sunday Through Friday

New GFS Model

Temperature Outlook

 

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Love Maryland Shirts and Hoodies

This shirt was designed by my ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden. The hoodie has been the biggest hit, so our promotion has been extended until the end of this week. 

 

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Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones