Tuesday June 18 2019

It sis warm, humid, and we have some rain already this morning. All of this stickiness in the air just needs a trigger to let loose. There will be more showers and slow moving storms on soggy ground, so it won’t take much to cause local flooding. As a result a Flash Flood Watch has been issued for much of our area today. Most of the action will be after 2 PM. While some storms could turn severe, the main risk today is for locally heavy rain.

 

Morning Set Up

This is all in response to a stalled front across the northern edge of our region that is expected to drift southward today. This is a pattern that will be with us for the next few days. Wherever this is set up when storms fire is where the heaviest rain will be. There is some computer guidance (posted below) that suggests the front might be in southern Maryland when that happens later today. So the flooding potential along with strong storms could include Southern Maryland.

 

Radar Loop: 4:30 AM to 6:30 AM

 

 

Muggy Start

 

 

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Local Weather Stats: Friday June 16, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  84ºF

Record High: 96ºF in 1939

Average  Low: 62ºF

Record Low:  47ºF in 1964

Sunrise: 5:39 AM

Sunset 8:35 PM  

*Daylight = 0:15 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 71ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

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Rain Timeline —> slider

The NAM 3 KM model has led the charge showing the flare up of storms in central VA, passing metro Washington into southern Maryland. This is south of the Flash Flood Watch region, so we need to see where the rain sets up when it develops.

 

Rain Animation Through Friday

The trend will continue until Friday morning.

 

Temperature Outlook

 

 

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