Tuesday October 15 2019
The storm on the way will be our first soaking rain since August 22. That is a 55 day day span, and we could get some water ponding on the roads or even minor flooding. So I figured it would be a good exercise to test out the high resolution modeling for the timeline. I will show that below. The rain is expected to begin after the morning commute, then become heaviest early in the afternoon, and end in the evening.
Following the rain will be when the strongest winds will be felt. This will be in the evening, just as the storm is moving away from us. Then the strongest winds will howl tomorrow night and Thursday morning. This is when the colder air will move in, and perhaps with enough moisture could bring the first flakes of the season to West Virginia and the western Maryland mountains.
Rain Timeline —> slider
The heaviest rain will be during the early afternoon.
Wednesday Morning – Average Wind Speed
Wednesday Morning – Top Wind Gusts
Wednesday Evening – Average Wind Speed
Notice the change to the Northwest. That will be the colder and drier air.
Wednesday Evening – Top Wind Gusts
Thursday Morning – Top Wind Gusts
Thursday Morning Temperatures
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Moderate Drought For Half of Maryland and Virginia: Drought Monitor
Many areas inland from the cities should drop into the 30s by tomorrow morning. This could do it. See the look at when we normally expect the first frost in this link.
Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported
Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.
Atmospheric Memory Shaped The US East Coast
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