2 PM Thursday November 7 2019

This quick update is to highlight the rain on the way and the cold air to follow. A cold front will guarantee a winter feel to the air Friday morning. The strong winds will bring wind chills into the 20s and even some flurries into central Maryland. The afternoon will struggle to get back to 40ºF in metro areas. Our pattern to follow may hold some chance for more snow next week, but I am still against hype of it being a full storm.

Thursday Afternoon Weather Map


Radar Loop

11:15 AM to 1:40 PM

Early this afternoon the rain has been from Hagerstown to Harrisburg and on the north side of York in PA.  The push of the front will shift this east into metro areas over the next few hours.



Radar Simulation —> slider

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Cold Air And Snow Showers/Flurries To Follow

The wider view is needed to show the Lake Effect snow machine open for business. Snow showers will move through southern Pennsylvania by early Friday morning. Flakes should be flying in our area by 5 AM. See the closer look below.



  • Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) who wanted to bring these hats to life.  *Mustard is her favorite color
  • The Maryland Hoodie is high quality and a new way to show off our love of Snow and State.
  • The T-shirt… Something you may find familiar. Why just a T? Because many schools I visit have the heat on high for faculty and staff. But you can put a long sleeve underneath for cool look.  I will have wifey model these soon 🙂

FITF Store


Friday Morning: Winter In The Air

The HRRR Model shows snow showers in York County by 5 AM


The NAM 3 Km Model shows an extension of the snow showers into central Maryland. I wrote ‘flurries’ in metro Baltimore for this 7 AM snapshot so not to confuse anyone into thinking about stickage. But flakes could be flying for the morning commute.

Strong Winds

The wind will average between 15 and 30 mph from the north to northwest all day. Perhaps some wind restrictions on the bridges.


Temperatures/Wind Chill

Reality is that it is going to be cold Friday



Temperature Animation Through Saturday 



Skipping To Next Week

This is why I DID NOT Support the talk of a winter storm over the past few days

The timing on the GFS and European ECWMF Models is off and not generating the same potential storm potency. As of this morning, the idea for snowflakes at the end of that system, but much less organized.   I still believe the trend continues for timing of elements to be faster and farther north than models first indicate.  It’s done this for a few months and now more evident with winter events.

Check back for more updates should anything change



Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media




Winter Outlook Posts

Part 1: More Snow This Winter Supported By Stats


Part 2: Solar Minimum- Low Sunspots May Mean High Snow Totals This Winter


Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September


NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


Maryland Trek Cycle Jerseys From Hill Killer

All proceeds will go to the Maryland Trek 6 total and Just In Power Kids programs


Just In Power Kids:

Proceeds go to our programs Providing FREE holistic care for kids in cancer treatment and up to 5 years post treatment and caregivers.


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Thank you to our Title Sponsor for Maryland Trek 6

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