Monday January 27 2020

We have a cold start but still above average this morning. Temperatures will be trending colder through the week, but the pattern will be quiet. That will change next weekend. I really hate to kick the can down the road, but the jet stream will be getting much for active and look more wintry as we turn the page into February.

The change will be noticed next weekend, and I still think the non-storm storm is worth watching. The modeling error may once again be missing something now it will catch up on in a few days.

Monday Morning Weather




Monday January 27, 2020 in Baltimore

Average High:  42ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1974

Average  Low: 25ºF

Record Low:  3ºF in 1987

                      *Record Snow 4.3″ in 1925

Sunrise: 7:17 AM

Sunset 5:20 PM  

*Daylight = 1:54 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 40ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 


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This Afternoon


Tuesday Temperatures


Looking Ahead

This is just on snapshot of the European ECWMF Model for Saturday. It shows a storm missing us off the coast and upper level energy (cold air aloft) in the Ohio Valley. A few days ago this and other models showed a snowstorm for our region. I did not post that.

What I am seeing are the ingredients for a coastal storm but bad timing.  What may happen is the upper level energy will be faster than the model is showing. If so, that would pull the coastal storm back west, colder to the coast.  That would bring in the chance our region gets involved.

*I will not wishcast a snow even. This is worth watching for the errors in computer modeling and trying to stay ahead.  If my theory is correct, it will start to show up in the modeling around Wednesday.


Long Range Outlook

The Jet Stream will trend Colder (blue) and More Stormy through the first week of February. This does not promise snow events, but it does make it more likely.





Temperature Outlook

This product does not go out far enough to show the last image- pattern change into the second weekend of February. So the trend is likely not to be sustained warming in mid February.


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  • Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
  • The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
  • The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’

FITF Store: Weather Wife


Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020





Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September


NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


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