Wednesday February 19 2020
Rain showers crossing the Eastern Shore this morning are part of the latest cold front. This will bring us two more cold days this week. But the southern end of that front will develop Low Pressure that bring snow to the Carolinas. This is an unusual event after a very unusual winter. But I am still not trusting the modeling. So southern Maryland needs to pay attention for the possible shift north Thursday evening.
Winter is not done yet. The outlook from NOAA brings in a colder start to March.
Wednesday Morning Weather
Wednesday February 19, 2020 in Baltimore
Average High: 46ºF
Record High: 72ºF in 1997
Average Low: 27ºF
Record Low: 5ºF in 1903
*Record Snow 16.4″ in 1979
Sunrise: 6:5 AM
Sunset 5:47 PM
*Daylight = 2:26 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 43ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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NAM 3 Km Model- This is the most aggressive of the bunch. It brings snow into southern Maryland Thursday evening. I keep showing this, because as I showed (on social media) yesterday, this models was wrong with Tuesday rain. It verified north of the forecast, so there is a track record to anticipate another shift.
Model Snapshots: Comparison at 7 PM Thursday
NAM 3 Km
European ECWMF Model
GFS (American) Model
I picked the middle or the road model, but note the potential for this to shift north… At this time, that puts Southern Maryland on watch. It would take a lot more error to reach central Maryland, which is less likely.
The mid range shows only two days of cold air followed by a return to the mild winter. However, the longer range does show the expansion of colder air into our region for the start of March.
Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media
WEATHER WIFE COLLECTION
- Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
- The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
- The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’
Winter Outlook Series:
See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.
Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported
Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.
Atmospheric Memory Shaped The US East Coast
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