2 PM Tuesday April 7

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the severe storm risk to Enhanced for Parts of the Mid West. The primary risk is for large hail and damaging winds. We are downstream of the wind flow, and may catch the remnant energy in parts of our region. It is possible some thunderstorm develop in this region that do not reach severe limits, but worth watching.

While this outlook is for today, our chance for storms will remain through Wednesday morning, then not strong line arriving on Thursday.

Severe Storm Risk


Afternoon Radar Loop


2 PM Radar Snapshot

This is what was actually happening at 2 PM

  • Rain showers reach central Maryland and parts of southern PA.
  • The storm chance along with lighting will cross northern Virginia and along the Potomac River basin.



Radar Simulation —> slider

This beings with a ‘forecast’ for 2 PM from this morning. It does NOT match the radar above. That’s part of my point here.

The model is NOT perfect and already seems to be behind with this cell.  So please consider that carrying forward. There may be more activity than shown, but the timing is to be used for a guideline.

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Wednesday Morning
There will be one line of storms along a from slipping southward just before sunrise on Wednesday. Heavier rain and a better chance for rumbles of thunder near and north of the Maryland/Pennsylvania line.


Radar Animation
The storm line on Thursday will be followed by very chilly air. Snow will fall in the mountains of Western Maryland (Garrett County). Strong winds will make it feel chilly into metro areas.
Frost is possible away from the water Saturday morning.
I will have another update this evening.

Weather Stats And Maps

Last week I started posting the daily observations and climate reports in a separate post for kids working on weather projects.

  • Yesterday’s Observations
  • Today’s Climate Data (temperatures, records, sun times and moon phase)

Click here or on the map


Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media


Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


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