Thursday October 8 2020
Hurricane Delta was upgraded back to Category 3 status this evening when winds were recorded at 115 mph. This makes it a major hurricane again, and was expected. The tropical storm winds reach 160 miles from the center and will be entering Louisiana Friday morning. Hurricane Force Winds are still in a small 35 mile spread from the eye wall.
Landfall is expected Friday afternoon within a few miles of where Hurricane Laura made landfall.
In addition to the storm update, the purpose of this post is for the inland impact, mainly the rain for our region in the Mid Atlantic. I have been mentioning all week that this would arrive at the end of the weekend. It now looks like that is the case, but we may squeeze out more dry hours on Sunday.
Hurricane Delta Stellite Loop
National Hurricane Center Update
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SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT 8 PM EDT ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 93.5W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
National Hurricane Center Forecast ‘Cone’
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * High Island Texas to Ocean Springs Mississippi including Calcasieu Lake, Vermilion Bay, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * West of High Island to Sargent Texas * East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River, including New Orleans * Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of the mouth of the Pearl River to Bay St. Louis Mississippi
Along the initial inland path, a wide range of 5 to 7 inches of rain is expected. The storm will break apart, but the moisture flow will bring moderate rain into the Mid Atlantic with a general 1 to 2″ inches by Monday.
Timeline Forecast –> slider
- The European Model has picked up on the slightly slower forward speed of Delta. The rain arrival has been pushed back later on Sunday.
- I would still allow for some wiggle room, but we could get most of the day in dry, before rain later afternoon or evening.
- The heaviest rain is likely on Monday.
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